Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.38
xG Away 1.14
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Zaglebie Lubin an expected 1.4 goals and GKS Katowice an expected 1.1 goals. Zaglebie Lubin have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and GKS Katowice at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.7%
1:0 11.1%
0:1 9.1%
2:1 8.8%
0:0 8.1%
2:0 7.7%
1:2 7.2%
0:2 5.2%
2:2 5%
3:1 4%
3:0 3.6%
1:3 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Zaglebie Lubin Win
Probability 43%
Predicted Odds 2.33
Market Odds 2.47

Team Comparison

Zaglebie Lubin GKS Katowice
7 League Position 5
48 Points 50
38% Win % 41%
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32

Venue Form

Zaglebie Lubin at Home
W2 D1 L3 (6 games)
33% win rate
GKS Katowice Away
W0 D2 L3 (5 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Zaglebie Lubin
L W W L D
GKS Katowice
L L L D D