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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama — Prediction

Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Yokohama F. Marinos 2–2 Tokyo Verdy
  • JEF United Chiba 0–0 Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Yokohama F. Marinos 2–0 Mito Hollyhock
  • Machida Zelvia 1–1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Fagiano Okayama
  • Fagiano Okayama 0–4 FC Tokyo
  • Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Fagiano Okayama
  • Fagiano Okayama 2–0 Mito Hollyhock
  • Fagiano Okayama 0–3 Vissel Kobe
  • Fagiano Okayama 1–2 Kyoto Sanga
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Yokohama F. Marinos 38 · Fagiano Okayama 38. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Yokohama F. Marinos 49% · 2026-11-06 01:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.23
Model goal expectation · 2 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
BTTS 41%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.23 · Fagiano Okayama 0.85.
1 45% · X 29% · 2 26%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15.3%
1:1 13.1%
0:0 12.4%
0:1 10.6%
2:0 9.4%
2:1 8.1%
1:2 5.6%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 3.9%
2:2 3.4%
3:1 3.3%
1:3 1.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome Yokohama F. Marinos Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

Yokohama F. Marinos Fagiano Okayama
15 League Position 13
43 Points 45
32% Win % 32%
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13

Venue Form

Yokohama F. Marinos at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Fagiano Okayama Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Yokohama F. Marinos
D D D W D
Fagiano Okayama
L L W L L

More J1 League Predictions

Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Sat 07 Nov
FC Tokyo vs Kashima
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 54%
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 58%
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 55%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 45%

Related saved forecasts

Recorded before kickoff, with the original selection, model probability and timestamp. These cards are a saved-record selection, separate from the main catalogue filters.

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Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Yokohama F. Marinos

Team profile and available match context.

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Fagiano Okayama

Team profile and available match context.

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J1 League

League table and competition context.

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.