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Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Nagoya Grampus
  • Vissel Kobe 3–1 Nagoya Grampus
  • Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Cerezo Osaka
  • Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Nagoya Grampus
  • FC Tokyo 1–0 Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
  • Kyoto Sanga 2–0 Shimizu S-Pulse
  • Gamba Osaka 2–2 Kyoto Sanga
  • Kyoto Sanga 2–2 Kashima
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kyoto Sanga
  • Fagiano Okayama 1–2 Kyoto Sanga
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Nagoya Grampus 38 · Kyoto Sanga 38. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Kyoto Sanga 42% · 2026-11-06 01:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.10
Model goal expectation · 2 1.86
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 56%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Nagoya Grampus 1.10 · Kyoto Sanga 1.86.
1 22% · X 23% · 2 55%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.6%
1:2 9.9%
0:1 9.7%
0:2 9%
1:3 6.1%
2:1 5.8%
1:0 5.7%
0:3 5.6%
2:2 5.4%
0:0 5.2%
2:3 3.4%
2:0 3.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Kyoto Sanga Win
Probability 55%
Predicted Odds 1.82

Team Comparison

Nagoya Grampus Kyoto Sanga
16 League Position 3
43 Points 68
29% Win % 50%
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05

Venue Form

Nagoya Grampus at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
Kyoto Sanga Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
L D D W L
Kyoto Sanga
W D D L W

Head to Head

10 May 2026 j1
Nagoya Grampus 3 : 0 Kyoto Sanga
W

Related saved forecasts

Recorded before kickoff, with the original selection, model probability and timestamp. These cards are a saved-record selection, separate from the main catalogue filters.

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01

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A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

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03

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.