FOOTBALL DATA
Search
Display
Site layout
EN

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy — Prediction

Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Shimizu S-Pulse
  • Kyoto Sanga 2–0 Shimizu S-Pulse
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Shimizu S-Pulse
  • Shimizu S-Pulse 0–5 Machida Zelvia
  • Shimizu S-Pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka
  • Shimizu S-Pulse 2–1 JEF United Chiba
Tokyo Verdy
  • Tokyo Verdy 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka
  • Yokohama F. Marinos 2–2 Tokyo Verdy
  • Tokyo Verdy 0–4 FC Tokyo
  • Urawa 3–1 Tokyo Verdy
  • Tokyo Verdy 1–1 JEF United Chiba
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Shimizu S-Pulse 38 · Tokyo Verdy 38. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Shimizu S-Pulse 52% · 2026-11-06 01:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.05
Model goal expectation · 2 0.63
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
BTTS 30%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Shimizu S-Pulse 1.05 · Tokyo Verdy 0.63.
1 45% · X 33% · 2 22%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 19.6%
0:0 18.7%
1:1 12.3%
0:1 11.7%
2:0 10.3%
2:1 6.5%
1:2 3.9%
0:2 3.7%
3:0 3.6%
3:1 2.3%
2:2 2%
4:0 0.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome Shimizu S-Pulse Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

Shimizu S-Pulse Tokyo Verdy
14 League Position 17
44 Points 43
29% Win % 29%
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 0.61
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08

Venue Form

Shimizu S-Pulse at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Tokyo Verdy Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse
L L L D W
Tokyo Verdy
W D L L D

More J1 League Predictions

Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Sat 07 Nov
FC Tokyo vs Kashima
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 54%
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 58%
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 55%
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 45%

Related saved forecasts

Recorded before kickoff, with the original selection, model probability and timestamp. These cards are a saved-record selection, separate from the main catalogue filters.

All football predictions →

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Shimizu S-Pulse

Team profile and available match context.

Explore →

Tokyo Verdy

Team profile and available match context.

Explore →

J1 League

League table and competition context.

Explore →

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.