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FC Tokyo vs Kashima — Prediction

FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Kashima Kashima

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

FC Tokyo
  • Fagiano Okayama 0–4 FC Tokyo
  • FC Tokyo 6–0 Mito Hollyhock
  • FC Tokyo 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol
  • Tokyo Verdy 0–4 FC Tokyo
  • FC Tokyo 1–0 Nagoya Grampus
Kashima
  • Kashima 4–1 Cerezo Osaka
  • Kashima 2–3 Kashiwa Reysol
  • Kyoto Sanga 2–2 Kashima
  • Kashima 2–0 V-Varen Nagasaki
  • Kawasaki Frontale 3–3 Kashima
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: FC Tokyo 38 · Kashima 38. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Kashima 41% · 2026-11-06 01:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.79
Model goal expectation · 2 1.49
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 42%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: FC Tokyo 0.79 · Kashima 1.49.
1 20% · X 26% · 2 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 15.2%
1:1 12.1%
0:2 11.3%
0:0 10.2%
1:2 9%
1:0 8.1%
0:3 5.6%
2:1 4.8%
1:3 4.5%
2:2 3.6%
2:0 3.2%
0:4 2.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Kashima Win
Probability 54%
Predicted Odds 1.85

Team Comparison

FC Tokyo Kashima
11 League Position 1
50 Points 76
34% Win % 61%
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82

Venue Form

FC Tokyo at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Kashima Away
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

FC Tokyo
W W D W W
Kashima
W L D W D

Head to Head

23 May 2026 j1
Kashima 1 : 0 FC Tokyo
L

More J1 League Predictions

Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Sat 07 Nov
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 58%
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 55%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 45%
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 45%

Related saved forecasts

Recorded before kickoff, with the original selection, model probability and timestamp. These cards are a saved-record selection, separate from the main catalogue filters.

All football predictions →

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

FC Tokyo

Team profile and available match context.

Explore →

Kashima

Team profile and available match context.

Explore →

J1 League

League table and competition context.

Explore →

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.