Widzew Łódź vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 23 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.06
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 46%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Widzew Łódź an expected 1.1 goals and Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.2 goals. Widzew Łódź have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Gornik Zabrze at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.3%
0:1 12.5%
1:0 11.1%
0:0 10.4%
1:2 8%
0:2 7.5%
2:1 7.1%
2:0 5.9%
2:2 4.2%
1:3 3.2%
0:3 3%
3:1 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Gornik Zabrze Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

Widzew Łódź Gornik Zabrze
14 League Position 2
42 Points 56
35% Win % 47%
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Widzew Łódź at Home
W2 D3 L0 (5 games)
40% win rate
Gornik Zabrze Away
W3 D1 L0 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

Widzew Łódź
D D D W W
Gornik Zabrze
W W D W