West Ham vs Leeds Prediction

West Ham West Ham
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 24 May 2026 · Premier League
Leeds Leeds
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives West Ham an expected 1.5 goals and Leeds an expected 1.2 goals. West Ham have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Leeds at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Leeds Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

West Ham Leeds
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

West Ham at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Leeds Away
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

West Ham
L W
Leeds
D D

Head to Head

05 Apr 2026 FA Cup
West Ham 2 : 2 Leeds
D
24 Oct 2025 Premier League
Leeds 2 : 1 West Ham
L
21 May 2023 Premier League
West Ham 3 : 1 Leeds
L