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Brighton vs Brentford — Prediction

2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Brighton
  • Getafe 0–1 Brighton
  • Manchester City 0–1 Brighton
  • Manchester City 2–2 Brighton
  • Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
  • FK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
Brentford
  • Brentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
  • Sunderland 3–2 Brentford
  • Hull City 1–1 Brentford
  • Brentford 1–2 Liverpool
  • Brentford 3–0 Chelsea
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Brighton 9 · Brentford 9. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Brighton 65% · 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.13
Model goal expectation · 2 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 54%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Brighton 2.13 · Brentford 0.95.
1 65% · X 20% · 2 16%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 10.4%
2:1 9.9%
1:0 9.8%
1:1 9.3%
3:0 7.4%
3:1 7%
2:2 4.7%
0:0 4.6%
1:2 4.4%
0:1 4.4%
4:0 4%
4:1 3.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Brighton Win
Probability 65%
Predicted Odds 1.54

Team Comparison

Brighton Brentford
3 League Position 6
19 Points 14
67% Win % 33%
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Brentford Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Brighton
W W D L D
Brentford
W L D L W

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.