FOOTBALL DATA
Search
Display
Site layout
EN

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City — Prediction

Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
0 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Manchester City Manchester City

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Nottingham Forest
  • Brentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
  • Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
  • Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal
  • Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry
  • Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
  • RB Leipzig 2–3 Manchester City
  • Manchester City 0–1 Brighton
  • Manchester City 2–2 Brighton
  • Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City
  • Manchester City 3–2 Ipswich
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Nottingham Forest 9 · Manchester City 9. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Manchester City 67% · 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.59
Model goal expectation · 2 2.03
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
BTTS 39%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Nottingham Forest 0.59 · Manchester City 2.03.
1 10% · X 19% · 2 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:2 15%
0:1 14.7%
0:3 10.1%
1:2 8.9%
1:1 8.7%
0:0 7.2%
1:3 6%
0:4 5.1%
1:0 4.3%
1:4 3.1%
2:2 2.6%
2:1 2.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome Manchester City Win
Probability 71%
Predicted Odds 1.41

Team Comparison

Nottingham Forest Manchester City
19 League Position 2
6 Points 21
11% Win % 78%
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11

Venue Form

Nottingham Forest at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate
Manchester City Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest
L D L L W
Manchester City
W L D L W

More Premier League Predictions

Everton vs Coventry
Fri 06 Nov Tip: 1 · 55%
Arsenal vs Hull City
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 60%
Fulham vs Newcastle United
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 42%
Leeds vs Tottenham
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 38%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Match pages

Open fixtures, match information and available analysis.

Explore →

Football predictions

Explore the available match catalogue and its filters.

Explore →

Prediction results

Inspect available settled selections and their outcomes.

Explore →

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.