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Arsenal vs Hull City — Prediction

Arsenal Arsenal
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Hull City Hull City

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Arsenal
  • Slavia Praha 1–2 Arsenal
  • Liverpool 0–1 Arsenal
  • Arsenal 2–0 Everton
  • Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal
  • Brighton 3–0 Arsenal
Hull City
  • Hull City 2–2 Ipswich
  • Hull City 1–1 Brentford
  • Fulham 1–0 Hull City
  • Newcastle United 2–1 Hull City
  • Chelsea 2–2 Hull City
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Arsenal 9 · Hull City 9. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Arsenal 52% · 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.38
Model goal expectation · 2 0.47
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
BTTS 28%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Arsenal 1.38 · Hull City 0.47.
1 60% · X 28% · 2 12%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 21.8%
0:0 15.7%
2:0 15.1%
1:1 10.1%
0:1 7.3%
2:1 7%
3:0 6.9%
3:1 3.2%
4:0 2.4%
1:2 2.4%
0:2 1.7%
2:2 1.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome Arsenal Win
Probability 60%
Predicted Odds 1.67

Team Comparison

Arsenal Hull City
1 League Position 11
24 Points 11
89% Win % 22%
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11

Venue Form

Arsenal at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Hull City Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Arsenal
W W W W L
Hull City
D D L L D

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Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 42%
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Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 38%
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 71%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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