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Fulham vs Newcastle United — Prediction

Fulham Fulham
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Newcastle United Newcastle United

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Fulham
  • Aston Villa 1–1 Fulham
  • Fulham 0–1 Crystal Palace
  • Coventry 0–1 Fulham
  • Fulham 1–0 Hull City
  • Fulham 1–1 Manchester United
Newcastle United
  • Newcastle United 0–1 Everton
  • Everton 3–1 Newcastle United
  • Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle United
  • Newcastle United 0–1 Aston Villa
  • Coventry 4–1 Newcastle United
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Fulham 9 · Newcastle United 9. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Newcastle United 38% · 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.33
Model goal expectation · 2 1.12
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 50%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Fulham 1.33 · Newcastle United 1.12.
1 42% · X 27% · 2 31%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.8%
1:0 11.5%
0:1 9.6%
0:0 8.6%
2:1 8.6%
2:0 7.7%
1:2 7.2%
0:2 5.4%
2:2 4.8%
3:1 3.8%
3:0 3.4%
1:3 2.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome Fulham Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38

Team Comparison

Fulham Newcastle United
15 League Position 13
9 Points 11
22% Win % 33%
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67

Venue Form

Fulham at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Newcastle United Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Fulham
D L W W D
Newcastle United
L L W L L

More Premier League Predictions

Everton vs Coventry
Fri 06 Nov Tip: 1 · 55%
Arsenal vs Hull City
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 60%
Leeds vs Tottenham
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 38%
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 71%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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