1
10%
Home Win
9.67
X
18%
Draw
5.5
2
71%
Away Win
1.4
xG Home
0.68
xG Away
2.15
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives West Ham an expected 0.7 goals and Arsenal an expected 2.2 goals. West Ham have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Arsenal at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
13.7%
0:1
12.7%
0:3
9.8%
1:2
9.3%
1:1
8.6%
1:3
6.6%
0:0
5.9%
0:4
5.3%
1:0
4%
1:4
3.6%
2:2
3.1%
2:1
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Arsenal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| West Ham | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 1 |
| 39 | Points | 85 |
| 26% | Win % | 68% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.87 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
West Ham at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Arsenal Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
West Ham
L
W
Arsenal
W
L
Head to Head
West Ham
0 : 0
Arsenal
D
Arsenal
2 : 0
West Ham
L
Arsenal
0 : 1
West Ham
W
