1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vitoria an expected 1.4 goals and Athletico Paranaense an expected 1.0 goals. Vitoria have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Athletico Paranaense at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
1:0
12.7%
0:1
9.4%
0:0
9.3%
2:1
8.7%
2:0
8.7%
1:2
6.5%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4.4%
3:1
4%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vitoria Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
Vitoria at Home
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Athletico Paranaense Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Vitoria
D
L
W
W
D
Athletico Paranaense
D
L
L
