1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mirassol an expected 1.8 goals and São Paulo FC an expected 0.9 goals. Mirassol have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and São Paulo FC at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.9%
2:0
11.4%
1:1
11%
2:1
9.7%
0:0
7.4%
3:0
6.6%
0:1
6.3%
3:1
5.7%
1:2
4.7%
2:2
4.1%
4:0
2.9%
0:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mirassol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| Mirassol | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 8 |
| 67 | Points | 51 |
| 47% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Mirassol at Home
W3
D3
L0
(6 games)
São Paulo FC Away
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Mirassol
D
W
W
D
W
São Paulo FC
D
L
L
D
D
