1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vasco DA Gama an expected 1.5 goals and Corinthians an expected 1.3 goals. Vasco DA Gama have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Corinthians at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
9.2%
2:1
9%
0:1
7.7%
1:2
7.5%
2:0
7%
0:0
6%
2:2
5.8%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.6%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vasco DA Gama Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Vasco DA Gama | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 13 |
| 45 | Points | 47 |
| 34% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Vasco DA Gama at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Corinthians Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Vasco DA Gama
W
L
W
W
L
Corinthians
L
L
D
