1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.99
xG Away
1.68
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Internacional an expected 1.0 goals and Botafogo an expected 1.7 goals. Internacional have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Botafogo at 54%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
11.6%
1:1
11.5%
0:2
9.8%
1:2
9.7%
0:0
6.9%
1:0
6.9%
2:1
5.7%
0:3
5.5%
1:3
5.4%
2:2
4.8%
2:0
3.4%
2:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Botafogo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Internacional | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 6 |
| 44 | Points | 63 |
| 29% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Internacional at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Botafogo Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Internacional
W
D
W
L
W
Botafogo
L
D
W
L