1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.23
xG Away
0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Palmeiras an expected 2.2 goals and RB Bragantino an expected 0.8 goals. Palmeiras have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and RB Bragantino at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.6%
1:0
11.3%
2:1
9.5%
3:0
9.3%
1:1
8.5%
3:1
7.1%
4:0
5.2%
0:0
5.1%
4:1
3.9%
0:1
3.8%
2:2
3.6%
1:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Palmeiras Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Palmeiras | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 10 |
| 76 | Points | 48 |
| 61% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Palmeiras at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
RB Bragantino Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Palmeiras
W
W
D
W
RB Bragantino
L
L
D
L
W
