1
7%
Home Win
14.99
X
17%
Draw
5.83
2
76%
Away Win
1.31
xG Home
0.45
xG Away
2.10
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Verona an expected 0.4 goals and Como an expected 2.1 goals. Verona have a 7% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Como at 76%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
17.3%
0:1
16.5%
0:3
12.1%
0:0
7.9%
1:2
7.7%
1:1
7.4%
0:4
6.3%
1:3
5.4%
1:0
3.5%
1:4
2.8%
2:2
1.7%
2:1
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Como Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 76% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.32 |
| Market Odds | 1.4 |
Team Comparison
| Verona | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | League Position | 4 |
| 21 | Points | 71 |
| 8% | Win % | 53% |
| 0.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
Venue Form
Verona at Home
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Como Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Verona
L
D
L
L
Como
W
W
Head to Head
Verona
0 : 0
Como
D
Como
3 : 1
Verona
L
Verona
1 : 1
Como
D
