1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Napoli an expected 1.1 goals and AS Roma an expected 1.1 goals. Napoli have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and AS Roma at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.1%
1:0
11.9%
0:0
10.7%
1:2
7.5%
2:1
7.4%
0:2
6.8%
2:0
6.6%
2:2
4.2%
1:3
2.8%
3:1
2.7%
0:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AS Roma Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 36% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.78 |
| Market Odds | 2.96 |
Team Comparison
| Napoli | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 76 | Points | 73 |
| 61% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Napoli at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
AS Roma Away
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Napoli
D
W
L
W
L
AS Roma
D
W
W
W
D
