1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.13
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cagliari an expected 1.1 goals and Bologna an expected 1.4 goals. Cagliari have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Bologna at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
0:1
11.2%
1:0
9.2%
1:2
8.7%
0:0
8.2%
0:2
7.7%
2:1
7.2%
2:0
5.2%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
4%
0:3
3.5%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bologna Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Cagliari | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 8 |
| 43 | Points | 56 |
| 29% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Cagliari at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Bologna Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Cagliari
L
W
L
W
Bologna
W
L
W
L
