1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.00
xG Away
0.71
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Como an expected 2.0 goals and Sassuolo an expected 0.7 goals. Como have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Sassuolo at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
13.4%
1:0
13.3%
2:1
9.4%
1:1
9.4%
3:0
8.9%
0:0
6.7%
3:1
6.3%
0:1
4.7%
4:0
4.5%
2:2
3.3%
1:2
3.3%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Como Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| Como | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 11 |
| 71 | Points | 49 |
| 53% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Como at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Sassuolo Away
W0
D2
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Como
W
W
D
Sassuolo
L
L
D
L
D
