1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
0.59
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lazio an expected 1.2 goals and Parma an expected 0.6 goals. Lazio have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Parma at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
20.1%
0:0
17.3%
1:1
11.9%
2:0
11.7%
0:1
10.2%
2:1
6.9%
3:0
4.5%
1:2
3.5%
0:2
3%
3:1
2.7%
2:2
2%
4:0
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lazio Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Lazio | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 13 |
| 54 | Points | 45 |
| 37% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.74 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Lazio at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Parma Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Lazio
W
L
D
Parma
L
L
L
W
