1
44%
Home Win
2.25
X
28%
Draw
3.57
2
28%
Away Win
3.62
xG Home
1.31
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Venezia an expected 1.3 goals and Lecce an expected 1.0 goals. Venezia have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Lecce at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.4%
1:1
13%
0:0
10.2%
0:1
9.9%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
6.3%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4.1%
3:0
3.8%
3:1
3.7%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Venezia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Venue Form
Lecce Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Lecce
W
D
