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Fiorentina vs Juventus — Prediction

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Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Fiorentina
  • Sassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
  • Inter 2–1 Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina 1–3 Como
  • Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli
Juventus
  • Juventus 2–0 Napoli
  • Genoa 2–0 Juventus
  • Lecce 0–2 Juventus
  • Juventus 0–3 Lazio
  • Cagliari 1–1 Juventus
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Fiorentina 10 · Juventus 10. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Fiorentina 49% · 2026-11-07 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.02
Model goal expectation · 2 1.74
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 53%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Fiorentina 1.02 · Juventus 1.74.
1 22% · X 24% · 2 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.2%
0:1 11%
1:2 9.8%
0:2 9.6%
1:0 6.4%
0:0 6.3%
2:1 5.7%
1:3 5.7%
0:3 5.6%
2:2 5%
2:0 3.3%
2:3 2.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome Juventus Win
Probability 54%
Predicted Odds 1.85

Team Comparison

Fiorentina Juventus
16 League Position 7
8 Points 17
20% Win % 50%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
2.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Fiorentina at Home
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate
Juventus Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Fiorentina
W D L L D
Juventus
W L W L D

Head to Head

17 May 2026 seriea
Juventus 0 : 2 Fiorentina
W

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Continue the match analysis

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.