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Parma vs Bologna — Prediction

Parma Parma
0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Bologna Bologna

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Parma
  • Atalanta 0–3 Parma
  • Parma 0–0 Udinese
  • Lazio 2–1 Parma
  • Parma 0–3 Torino
  • Parma 2–1 Genoa
Bologna
  • Bologna 2–1 Monza
  • AC Milan 2–4 Bologna
  • Cagliari 0–2 Bologna
  • Bologna 1–3 Inter
  • Bologna 1–1 Torino
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Parma 10 · Bologna 10. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Bologna 45% · 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.71
Model goal expectation · 2 1.22
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
BTTS 36%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Parma 0.71 · Bologna 1.22.
1 21% · X 30% · 2 49%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 17.8%
0:0 14.5%
1:1 12.5%
0:2 10.9%
1:0 10.3%
1:2 7.7%
2:1 4.4%
0:3 4.4%
2:0 3.6%
1:3 3.1%
2:2 2.7%
0:4 1.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Bologna Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04

Team Comparison

Parma Bologna
15 League Position 9
8 Points 14
20% Win % 40%
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3

Venue Form

Parma at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Bologna Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Parma
W D L L W
Bologna
W W W L D

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Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 94%
Cagliari vs Frosinone
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Torino vs Lecce
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 60%

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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