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AS Roma vs Sassuolo — Prediction

AS Roma AS Roma
4 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Sassuolo Sassuolo

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

AS Roma
  • Manchester United 3–2 AS Roma
  • Udinese 2–5 AS Roma
  • AS Roma 4–2 Cagliari
  • Napoli 3–3 AS Roma
  • AS Roma 2–0 Genoa
Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina
  • Sassuolo 2–6 Lazio
  • Como 2–0 Sassuolo
  • Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo
  • Monza 2–1 Sassuolo
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: AS Roma 10 · Sassuolo 10. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: AS Roma 70% · 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 4.94
Model goal expectation · 2 0.93
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
BTTS 60%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: AS Roma 4.94 · Sassuolo 0.93.
1 94% · X 4% · 2 2%.

Correct Score Predictions

4:0 7%
4:1 6.5%
3:0 5.7%
3:1 5.3%
2:0 3.4%
2:1 3.2%
4:2 3%
3:2 2.5%
2:2 1.5%
1:0 1.4%
1:1 1.3%
4:3 0.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome AS Roma Win
Probability 94%
Predicted Odds 1.06

Team Comparison

AS Roma Sassuolo
3 League Position 17
24 Points 8
70% Win % 20%
2.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.6

Venue Form

AS Roma at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Sassuolo Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

AS Roma
L W W D W
Sassuolo
L L L L L

More Serie A Predictions

Venezia vs Udinese
Fri 06 Nov Tip: 2 · 44%
Cagliari vs Frosinone
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 66%
Parma vs Bologna
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 49%
Torino vs Lecce
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 60%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.