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Torino vs Lecce — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Torino
  • Frosinone 2–0 Torino
  • Torino 1–3 Como
  • Torino 3–2 Monza
  • Parma 0–3 Torino
  • Torino 2–1 Udinese
Lecce
  • Lecce 1–2 Genoa
  • Frosinone 5–1 Lecce
  • Lecce 0–2 Juventus
  • Udinese 0–3 Lecce
  • AC Milan 1–0 Lecce
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Torino 10 · Lecce 10. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Torino 50% · 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.00
Model goal expectation · 2 1.02
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
BTTS 55%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Torino 2.00 · Lecce 1.02.
1 60% · X 21% · 2 19%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10%
2:1 10%
1:0 9.7%
2:0 9.7%
3:1 6.6%
3:0 6.5%
1:2 5.1%
2:2 5.1%
0:1 5%
0:0 4.9%
3:2 3.4%
4:1 3.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Torino Win
Probability 60%
Predicted Odds 1.67

Team Comparison

Torino Lecce
10 League Position 14
13 Points 9
40% Win % 30%
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1

Venue Form

Torino at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Lecce Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Torino
L L W W W
Lecce
L L L W L

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.