Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City SC Prediction

2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.40
xG Away 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Vancouver Whitecaps an expected 2.4 goals and St. Louis City SC an expected 0.9 goals. Vancouver Whitecaps have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and St. Louis City SC at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 10.6%
2:1 9.6%
1:0 8.9%
3:0 8.5%
1:1 8%
3:1 7.6%
4:0 5.1%
4:1 4.6%
2:2 4.3%
0:0 3.7%
1:2 3.6%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Vancouver Whitecaps Win
Probability 71%
Predicted Odds 1.41
Market Odds 1.5

Team Comparison

Vancouver Whitecaps St. Louis City SC
2 League Position 13
63 Points 32
53% Win % 24%
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71

Venue Form

Vancouver Whitecaps at Home
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate
St. Louis City SC Away
W2 D1 L3 (6 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Vancouver Whitecaps
D W L W W
St. Louis City SC
L D W W L