1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sporting Kansas City an expected 1.3 goals and Austin an expected 1.4 goals. Sporting Kansas City have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Austin at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
9.5%
1:0
8.8%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
8%
0:0
6.8%
0:2
6.6%
2:0
5.7%
2:2
5.5%
1:3
4%
3:1
3.4%
0:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Austin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Sporting Kansas City | Austin | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 6 |
| 28 | Points | 47 |
| 21% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Sporting Kansas City at Home
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Austin Away
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Sporting Kansas City
L
L
W
W
D
Austin
W
D
L
L
D
