1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.05
xG Away
1.77
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
72%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Dallas an expected 2.1 goals and San Jose Earthquakes an expected 1.8 goals. FC Dallas have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and San Jose Earthquakes at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.1%
1:1
7.9%
2:2
7.2%
1:2
7%
3:1
5.6%
3:2
4.9%
2:0
4.6%
1:0
4.5%
2:3
4.3%
1:3
4.2%
0:1
3.9%
0:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Dallas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| FC Dallas | San Jose Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 10 |
| 44 | Points | 41 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
FC Dallas at Home
W5
D2
L2
(9 games)
San Jose Earthquakes Away
W3
D2
L3
(8 games)
Recent Form
FC Dallas
W
W
D
W
W
San Jose Earthquakes
L
W
D
L
D
