1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.05
xG Away
1.69
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Houston Dynamo an expected 1.1 goals and Minnesota United an expected 1.7 goals. Houston Dynamo have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Minnesota United at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
0:1
10.9%
1:2
9.7%
0:2
9.2%
1:0
6.8%
0:0
6.5%
2:1
6%
1:3
5.4%
0:3
5.2%
2:2
5.1%
2:0
3.6%
2:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Minnesota United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Houston Dynamo | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 4 |
| 37 | Points | 58 |
| 26% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
Venue Form
Houston Dynamo at Home
W3
D2
L2
(7 games)
Minnesota United Away
W2
D1
L4
(7 games)
Recent Form
Houston Dynamo
D
L
D
W
W
Minnesota United
D
L
L
L
W
