1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Salt Lake an expected 1.4 goals and St. Louis City SC an expected 1.2 goals. Real Salt Lake have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and St. Louis City SC at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
1:0
10.9%
0:1
9.1%
2:1
8.7%
0:0
7.9%
2:0
7.5%
1:2
7.3%
0:2
5.3%
2:2
5.1%
3:1
4%
3:0
3.5%
1:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Salt Lake Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Real Salt Lake | St. Louis City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 13 |
| 41 | Points | 32 |
| 35% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
Venue Form
Real Salt Lake at Home
W5
D1
L4
(10 games)
St. Louis City SC Away
W2
D1
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Real Salt Lake
W
W
L
L
D
St. Louis City SC
L
D
W
W
L
