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Sevilla FC vs Alavés — Prediction

Sevilla FC Sevilla FC
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Fri, 06 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Alavés Alavés

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
6 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Sevilla FC
  • Getafe 3–1 Sevilla FC
  • Hortaleza 0–0 Sevilla FC
  • Sevilla FC 2–0 Osasuna
  • Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla FC
  • Sevilla FC 1–3 Barcelona
Alavés
  • Barcelona 6–1 Alavés
  • Alavés 1–1 Malaga
  • Celta de Vigo 2–1 Alavés
  • Athletic Club 0–0 Alavés
  • Alavés 0–1 Valencia
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Sevilla FC 11 · Alavés 11. Data saved: 2026-11-05 01:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Sevilla FC 48% · 2026-11-05 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.71
Model goal expectation · 2 1.45
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 63%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Sevilla FC 1.71 · Alavés 1.45.
1 44% · X 23% · 2 33%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.5%
2:1 9%
1:2 7.6%
1:0 7.2%
2:2 6.5%
2:0 6.2%
0:1 6.1%
3:1 5.1%
0:2 4.4%
0:0 4.2%
3:2 3.7%
1:3 3.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome Sevilla FC Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27

Team Comparison

Sevilla FC Alavés
6 League Position 11
17 Points 12
45% Win % 27%
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55

Venue Form

Sevilla FC at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Alavés Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Sevilla FC
L D W L L
Alavés
L D L D L