1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.30
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Utrecht an expected 2.3 goals and PEC Zwolle an expected 0.9 goals. Utrecht have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and PEC Zwolle at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.4%
2:1
9.7%
1:0
9.1%
1:1
8.5%
3:0
8%
3:1
7.5%
4:0
4.6%
2:2
4.5%
4:1
4.3%
0:0
4%
1:2
4%
0:1
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Utrecht Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| Utrecht | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 15 |
| 53 | Points | 37 |
| 44% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
Venue Form
Utrecht at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
PEC Zwolle Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Utrecht
D
W
W
PEC Zwolle
L
L
L
