1
51%
Home Win
1.97
X
24%
Draw
4.19
2
25%
Away Win
3.94
xG Home
1.71
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Utrecht an expected 1.7 goals and GO Ahead Eagles an expected 1.1 goals. Utrecht have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and GO Ahead Eagles at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:0
9.8%
2:1
9.6%
2:0
8.4%
0:1
6.6%
1:2
6.4%
0:0
5.7%
2:2
5.5%
3:1
5.5%
3:0
4.8%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Utrecht Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Utrecht | GO Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 12 |
| 53 | Points | 38 |
| 44% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
Utrecht at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
GO Ahead Eagles Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Utrecht
W
W
GO Ahead Eagles
D
L
