1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
0.71
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Udinese an expected 1.4 goals and Lecce an expected 0.7 goals. Udinese have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Lecce at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17%
0:0
12.3%
1:1
12.1%
2:0
11.8%
0:1
8.7%
2:1
8.4%
3:0
5.5%
1:2
4.3%
3:1
3.9%
0:2
3.1%
2:2
3%
4:0
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Udinese Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Udinese | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 17 |
| 50 | Points | 38 |
| 37% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.74 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Udinese at Home
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Lecce Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Udinese
L
L
W
L
Lecce
L
L
W
D
