1
48%
Home Win
2.1
X
26%
Draw
3.81
2
26%
Away Win
3.83
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Udinese an expected 1.5 goals and Cagliari an expected 1.0 goals. Udinese have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Cagliari at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
12.2%
2:1
9.1%
2:0
9%
0:1
8.5%
0:0
8.3%
1:2
6.3%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
4.5%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.3%
3:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Udinese Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Udinese | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 14 |
| 50 | Points | 43 |
| 37% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
Udinese at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Cagliari Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Udinese
L
W
L
Cagliari
D
