1
38%
Home Win
2.63
X
25%
Draw
3.99
2
37%
Away Win
2.71
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tottenham an expected 1.4 goals and Newcastle United an expected 1.4 goals. Tottenham have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Newcastle United at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
2:1
8.4%
1:0
8.3%
1:2
8.3%
0:1
8.2%
2:0
6%
2:2
5.9%
0:0
5.8%
0:2
5.8%
3:1
4%
1:3
3.9%
3:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tottenham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Tottenham | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 12 |
| 41 | Points | 49 |
| 26% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Tottenham at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Newcastle United Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Tottenham
D
D
Newcastle United
D
L
