1
41%
Home Win
2.44
X
25%
Draw
3.94
2
34%
Away Win
2.97
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tottenham an expected 1.5 goals and Leeds an expected 1.3 goals. Tottenham have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Leeds at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
9.2%
2:1
8.8%
0:1
8.2%
1:2
7.8%
2:0
6.7%
0:0
6.3%
2:2
5.7%
0:2
5.3%
3:1
4.3%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tottenham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Tottenham | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 14 |
| 41 | Points | 47 |
| 26% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Tottenham at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Leeds Away
W0
D3
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Tottenham
D
D
Leeds
D
D
D
Head to Head
Tottenham
1 : 1
Leeds
D
Leeds
1 : 2
Tottenham
W
Leeds
1 : 4
Tottenham
W
