Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Mon, 11 May 2026 · Premier League
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Tottenham an expected 1.5 goals and Leeds an expected 1.2 goals. Tottenham have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Leeds at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Tottenham Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

Tottenham Leeds
0 League Position 0
0 Points 0

Venue Form

Tottenham at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
Leeds Away
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Tottenham
D D
Leeds
D D

Head to Head

11 May 2026 Premier League
Tottenham 1 : 1 Leeds
D
04 Oct 2025 Premier League
Leeds 1 : 2 Tottenham
W
28 May 2023 Premier League
Leeds 1 : 4 Tottenham
W