1
30%
Home Win
3.29
X
28%
Draw
3.59
2
42%
Away Win
2.4
xG Home
1.05
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Toronto FC an expected 1.1 goals and Charlotte an expected 1.3 goals. Toronto FC have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Charlotte at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
0:1
12.4%
1:0
10.2%
0:0
9.7%
1:2
8.4%
0:2
8%
2:1
6.9%
2:0
5.4%
2:2
4.4%
1:3
3.6%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Charlotte Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Toronto FC | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 4 |
| 32 | Points | 59 |
| 18% | Win % | 56% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Toronto FC at Home
W0
D3
L3
(6 games)
Charlotte Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Toronto FC
L
D
L
D
D
Charlotte
L
L
L
W
