1
35%
Home Win
2.87
X
25%
Draw
3.95
2
40%
Away Win
2.51
xG Home
1.34
xG Away
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives New York Red Bulls an expected 1.3 goals and Nashville SC an expected 1.4 goals. New York Red Bulls have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Nashville SC at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
0:1
8.9%
1:2
8.6%
1:0
8.3%
2:1
8%
0:2
6.5%
0:0
6.2%
2:2
5.8%
2:0
5.5%
1:3
4.2%
3:1
3.6%
0:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nashville SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| New York Red Bulls | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 6 |
| 43 | Points | 54 |
| 35% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
New York Red Bulls at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Nashville SC Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
New York Red Bulls
L
D
W
Nashville SC
D
W
