1
48%
Home Win
2.09
X
22%
Draw
4.55
2
30%
Away Win
3.33
xG Home
1.94
xG Away
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Philadelphia Union an expected 1.9 goals and Inter Miami an expected 1.5 goals. Philadelphia Union have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Inter Miami at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.3%
2:1
9%
1:2
7%
2:2
6.8%
1:0
6.2%
2:0
6%
3:1
5.8%
0:1
4.8%
3:2
4.4%
3:0
3.9%
0:2
3.6%
1:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Philadelphia Union Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Philadelphia Union | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 66 | Points | 65 |
| 59% | Win % | 56% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.38 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Philadelphia Union at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Inter Miami Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union
D
D
W
Inter Miami
W
W
W
