1
63%
Home Win
1.58
X
21%
Draw
4.87
2
16%
Away Win
6.21
xG Home
2.04
xG Away
0.92
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Columbus Crew an expected 2.0 goals and Montréal Impact an expected 0.9 goals. Columbus Crew have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Montréal Impact at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.8%
1:0
10.6%
2:1
9.9%
1:1
9.7%
3:0
7.3%
3:1
6.8%
0:0
5.2%
0:1
4.8%
2:2
4.6%
1:2
4.5%
4:0
3.7%
4:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Columbus Crew Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| Columbus Crew | Montréal Impact | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 13 |
| 54 | Points | 28 |
| 41% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Columbus Crew at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Montréal Impact Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Columbus Crew
L
W
W
W
Montréal Impact
L
L
