1
45%
Home Win
2.22
X
27%
Draw
3.76
2
28%
Away Win
3.54
xG Home
1.42
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Cincinnati an expected 1.4 goals and New York City FC an expected 1.1 goals. FC Cincinnati have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and New York City FC at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
1:0
11.9%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
8.9%
2:0
8.4%
0:0
8.4%
1:2
6.7%
2:2
4.7%
0:2
4.7%
3:1
4.2%
3:0
4%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Cincinnati Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 5 |
| 65 | Points | 56 |
| 59% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
FC Cincinnati at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
New York City FC Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
FC Cincinnati
W
D
W
New York City FC
L
W
