1
49%
Home Win
2.02
X
20%
Draw
5.08
2
31%
Away Win
3.25
xG Home
2.34
xG Away
1.84
Over 2.5 Goals
79%
BTTS
76%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Orlando City an expected 2.3 goals and Chicago Fire an expected 1.8 goals. Orlando City have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Chicago Fire at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 79%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
7.7%
2:2
7.1%
1:1
6.6%
1:2
6.1%
3:1
6%
3:2
5.5%
2:3
4.3%
2:0
4.2%
1:3
3.7%
1:0
3.6%
4:1
3.5%
3:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Orlando City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Orlando City | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 8 |
| 53 | Points | 53 |
| 41% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Orlando City at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Chicago Fire Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Orlando City
W
L
W
Chicago Fire
D
