1
20%
Home Win
4.98
X
23%
Draw
4.28
2
57%
Away Win
1.77
xG Home
0.95
xG Away
1.76
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Torino an expected 0.9 goals and AC Milan an expected 1.8 goals. Torino have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and AC Milan at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
11.7%
1:1
11.1%
0:2
10.3%
1:2
9.8%
0:0
6.6%
1:0
6.3%
0:3
6.1%
1:3
5.8%
2:1
5.3%
2:2
4.7%
2:0
3%
2:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AC Milan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Torino | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 5 |
| 45 | Points | 70 |
| 32% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Torino at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
AC Milan Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Torino
W
D
AC Milan
L
W
