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Napoli vs Lazio — Prediction

0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Napoli
  • FC Porto 4–1 Napoli
  • Juventus 2–0 Napoli
  • Monza 1–4 Napoli
  • Napoli 3–3 AS Roma
  • Venezia 1–0 Napoli
Lazio
  • Lazio 2–1 Cagliari
  • Sassuolo 2–6 Lazio
  • Lazio 2–1 Parma
  • Juventus 0–3 Lazio
  • Lazio 3–1 Monza
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Napoli 10 · Lazio 10. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Lazio 45% · 2026-11-07 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.92
Model goal expectation · 2 1.82
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 51%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Napoli 0.92 · Lazio 1.82.
1 19% · X 23% · 2 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 11.7%
1:1 10.8%
0:2 10.7%
1:2 9.8%
0:0 6.5%
0:3 6.5%
1:0 6%
1:3 6%
2:1 5%
2:2 4.5%
0:4 2.9%
2:0 2.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Lazio Win
Probability 58%
Predicted Odds 1.72

Team Comparison

Napoli Lazio
8 League Position 1
14 Points 28
40% Win % 90%
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8

Venue Form

Napoli at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Lazio Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Napoli
L L W D L
Lazio
W W W W W

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.