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Monza vs Atalanta — Prediction

Monza Monza
2 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Atalanta Atalanta

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Monza
  • Bologna 2–1 Monza
  • Monza 1–4 Napoli
  • Torino 3–2 Monza
  • Monza 4–0 Cagliari
  • Lazio 3–1 Monza
Atalanta
  • Atalanta 1–1 Kairat Almaty
  • Atalanta 0–3 Parma
  • Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
  • Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone
  • Ajax 2–0 Atalanta
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Monza 10 · Atalanta 10. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Monza 48% · 2026-11-07 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.31
Model goal expectation · 2 2.24
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
BTTS 80%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Monza 2.31 · Atalanta 2.24.
1 42% · X 19% · 2 39%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:2 7.1%
2:1 6.3%
1:2 6.1%
1:1 5.5%
3:2 5.4%
2:3 5.3%
3:1 4.9%
1:3 4.6%
3:3 4.1%
4:2 3.1%
2:4 2.9%
2:0 2.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Monza Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38

Team Comparison

Monza Atalanta
18 League Position 13
7 Points 11
20% Win % 30%
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 2

Venue Form

Monza at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Atalanta Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Monza
L L L W L
Atalanta
D L D D L

More Serie A Predictions

AS Roma vs Sassuolo
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 94%
Cagliari vs Frosinone
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 66%
Parma vs Bologna
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 49%
Torino vs Lecce
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 60%
Fiorentina vs Juventus
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 54%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.