FOOTBALL DATA
Search
Display
EN

Genoa vs AC Milan — Prediction

Genoa Genoa
0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
AC Milan AC Milan

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Genoa
  • Lecce 1–2 Genoa
  • Genoa 2–0 Juventus
  • Genoa 1–0 Venezia
  • AS Roma 2–0 Genoa
  • Parma 2–1 Genoa
AC Milan
  • AC Milan 0–2 Ferencvárosi TC
  • AC Milan 3–1 Inter
  • AC Milan 2–4 Bologna
  • Udinese 0–2 AC Milan
  • AC Milan 3–2 Atalanta
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Genoa 10 · AC Milan 10. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: AC Milan 56% · 2026-11-07 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.82
Model goal expectation · 2 1.71
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 46%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Genoa 0.82 · AC Milan 1.71.
1 18% · X 24% · 2 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.7%
0:2 11.7%
1:1 11.1%
1:2 9.5%
0:0 8%
0:3 6.7%
1:0 6.5%
1:3 5.4%
2:1 4.5%
2:2 3.9%
0:4 2.9%
2:0 2.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome AC Milan Win
Probability 59%
Predicted Odds 1.69

Team Comparison

Genoa AC Milan
11 League Position 5
13 Points 21
40% Win % 60%
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.1
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2

Venue Form

Genoa at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
AC Milan Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Genoa
W W W L L
AC Milan
L W L W W

Head to Head

17 May 2026 seriea
Genoa 1 : 2 AC Milan
L

More Serie A Predictions

AS Roma vs Sassuolo
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 94%
Cagliari vs Frosinone
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 66%
Parma vs Bologna
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 49%
Torino vs Lecce
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 60%
Fiorentina vs Juventus
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 54%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Match pages

Open fixtures, match information and available analysis.

Explore →

Football predictions

Explore the available match catalogue and its filters.

Explore →

Prediction results

Inspect available settled selections and their outcomes.

Explore →

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.