1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
0.71
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Toluca an expected 1.3 goals and Club Tijuana an expected 0.7 goals. Toluca have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Club Tijuana at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.4%
0:0
13.4%
1:1
12.4%
2:0
11.3%
0:1
9.5%
2:1
8%
3:0
4.9%
1:2
4.4%
3:1
3.5%
0:2
3.4%
2:2
2.9%
4:0
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Toluca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Toluca | Club Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 9 |
| 30 | Points | 23 |
| 47% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Toluca at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Club Tijuana Away
W0
D3
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Toluca
L
L
L
W
W
Club Tijuana
D
D
D
